RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
EAST-CENTRAL NM INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms with potential for large to very large hail,
isolated severe gusts, and a few tornadoes remain possible this
evening from eastern New Mexico into the Texas South Plains and
Permian Basin.
...Southern High Plains vicinity...
Several supercells are ongoing this evening from eastern NM into the
TX Panhandle, South Plains, and Permian Basin. Moderate to strong
buoyancy and favorably veering wind profiles will maintain supercell
potential through much of the evening, with eventual storm
clustering and upscale growth possible later tonight, due to
continued storm interactions and a nocturnally strengthening
low-level jet.
Tornado potential will persist and may locally increase through the
evening, as 0-1 km SRH increases above 200 m2/s2 in conjunction with
the strengthening low-level jet. A conditional threat for a strong
tornado remains evident with any supercell that can persist near a
surface boundary extending from east-central NM into the TX South
Plains. Otherwise, supercells will continue pose a threat of very
large hail and isolated severe gusts through the evening.
Late tonight, one or more storm clusters may spread
east-southeastward toward southwest OK and western north TX, with a
threat of strong to severe gusts, hail, and possibly a tornado.
...Southern OH into western WV...
A small portion of the Marginal Risk has been maintained from
extreme southern OH into western WV, where a couple of small
rotating cells may persist for another hour or two before weakening
later this evening.
..Dean.. 04/26/2025
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