RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
Valid 170100Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN
KANSAS AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail,
severe/damaging winds (some 75+ mph), and a couple tornadoes remain
possible tonight, especially across southern Nebraska and northern
Kansas.
...01z Update - Central Plains/Missouri Valley...
Primary scenario this evening will be an upscale-growing/organizing
cluster of storms across northern Kansas and southern Nebraska. A
bit more spatial room has been given (southward adjusted) across
northern Kansas (mostly north of I-70) for what may still be a
post-01z increasing damaging wind potential, including
significant-caliber wind gusts across northern Kansas and far
southern Nebraska, aside from a lingering broad regional potential
for some large hail as well. Measured 85 mph gusts have recently
been reported near Colby, Kansas.
..Guyer.. 05/17/2026
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